Evaluation of projections of populations for the aboriginal identity groups in Canada, 1996-2001

Authors

  • Ravi B. P. Verma Statistics Canada, Ottawa Ontario

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25336/P6PC81

Abstract

The population projections for the Aboriginal identity groups (North American Indians, Métis and Inuit) by age and sex from 1996 to 2001 were developed at the Canada level, using the cohort-component method. The purpose of this paper is to compare and analyze the error of closure between the projected 2001 and adjusted 2001 population counts due to net census undercounts. It is observed that the error of closure for the 2001 projected Aboriginal population based on the 1996 adjusted census population seems to be lower by 7% over the 2001 Census adjusted Aboriginal population. In contrast, the projected populations for North American Indians and Inuit are lower by -0.20% and -2.73%. However, for the Métis the error of closure is extremely high, at -24.84%. Reasons for the higher error of closure for the Métis such as the effects of intra-generational ethnic mobility will be discussed in the paper.

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Published

2005-12-31

Issue

Vol:32 No.2 (2005)

Section

Articles

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Copyright (c) 2019 Ravi B. P. Verma

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